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True Opportunity

The TrueNicks system measures the true opportunity of sire and broodmare sire crosses. Unlike other nicking products, TrueNicks ratings are continually recalculated to reflect the latest Thoroughbred racing results.

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Reader Q&A - Derby Contender Nicks?
Friday, March 05, 2010 10:20 AM
Michelle asks: Where can I find the TrueNicks ratings for horses that are running in the prep races leading up to the Kentucky Derby? Byron's response: Thanks for taking the time to send us this email. Judging by your question we should probably make a better effort at getting the TrueNicks ratings integrated and displayed on The Blood-Horse web site (www.bloodhorse... Read More...
Q&A - Why a 'C' Rating?
Monday, February 15, 2010 1:22 PM
Phyllis asks: Using the Equineline data base, I found that Even the Score and a Deputy Minister line mare produced the filly Four Gifts, a grade III winner who has earned well in excess of $600,000 (and still running). I called and spoke to the farm today about a season with my Deputy Minister mare. I did a TrueNick, and see that it is being rated as a C Nick... Read More...
What's the Difference?
Sunday, January 10, 2010 12:30 PM
Russell asks : Why are the ratings found in the Stallion Affinity Report not the same as the ratings obtained by running an individual mating? As an example, Storm Cat over Yonaguska gets a TrueNicks rating of A+ according to the sample affinity report shown for Storm Cat. I ran my Yonaguska mare, Bella Cherokee, with Frost Giant using the TrueNicks link on the... Read More...
Q&A - Why Does It Mean When a TrueNicks Rating is a 'No Rating'?
Tuesday, November 17, 2009 7:16 AM
Kim asks : I did a TrueNick with Bertrando and Benson's Girl (by Buddha) and it said no rating. What does that mean? Alan's response: Thank you for the inquiry. For TrueNicks to compute a rating there must be either two stakes winners bred on the cross, or 15 starters. If there are insufficient stakes winners or starters on the sire/broodmare sire cross, the... Read More...
Q&A - What are the Differences Between TrueNicks & Other Nicking Systems? What's More Important, a 'Good' Dosage Profile or a Good Nick Rating?
Monday, October 05, 2009 4:26 PM
Dawn asks : I am somewhat new to this and really need some help. have a mare named Buy You A Bear (Bayou Hebert x Sheckyrilla - Shecky Greene) that I am contemplating breeding to Borrego ( TrueNicks , SRO ) or Leroidesanimaux (BRZ) ( TrueNicks , SRO ) . These are my questions: 1) Based on TrueNicks, she nicks better with 'Leroi' than Borrego, but her Dosage is... Read More...
User Q&A -- Why Does Holy Bull/In Reality Outrate Holy Bull Sons in the Same Cross?
Monday, August 17, 2009 9:33 AM
Chad asks : The TrueNicks for Holy Bull / In Reality is listed as an A , yet when entering his sons the rating is listed as a C , based on Holy Bull / In Reality. What is the factor (BSII, variant, ?) responsible for the difference? I have not found that such a discrepancy doesn't exist when using Unbridled's Song and sons (other than variant). Alan's response... Read More...
Reader Question -- Why do the Dosage Index and TrueNicks Score Seem to Disagree Sometimes?
Tuesday, February 03, 2009 9:08 AM
Reader question: Hi, Scot. I have read the history behind and understand what the DP, CD, and DI figures stand for but my question is: Why does it seem that good or higher DP numbers are sometimes in conflict with the nicks? In nicking my mare with stallions I'll get higher or better DP numbers with a "C" nick then with an "A". I guess the follow-up question... Read More...
Reader Question -- Just Perfect
Monday, February 02, 2009 8:02 AM
Reader question : I recently ran a cross for my mare Enthrall (by Lyphard out of Swift Gal) with a stallion that entered New York for 2008 named Utopia (Jpn). He is by Forty Niner. I came up with a TrueNicks pattern of an “A.” I was pretty excited and forged this decision on paper in the form of a contract. I thought that Alan Porter and Byron Rogers don’t readily... Read More...
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Reader Question -- Cross Produces Grade I Winners But Rates Poorly... Why?
Friday, January 30, 2009 9:58 AM
Question from Ryan : My question is why do I get a B rating nick but when you look at the cross and it has produced G1 stakes winners? Then the opposite happens when I get a A++ nick but there may not even be a graded stakes winner produced? Alan's reply : Hi Ryan. Thank you for the question. The reason that the you might get a B rating (not that bad in itself... Read More...
READER Q&A - Should I Breed My Mare?
Thursday, January 22, 2009 5:37 AM
Reader's question: My mare Pebbles Delight has an A++ wih Corinthian. She has been accepted to his book for 2009. However, since she doesn't have a lot of black type up front, I probably won't make any profit on the resulting foal. What are your thoughts on this mating? I love the mating, but my pocketbook needs to rule rather than my heart. Sally. Byron's reply... Read More...
Reader Question -- Broodmare Analysis Report with Free Stallions
Friday, January 16, 2009 11:26 AM
Question from Randy : Why would I pay for something that really should be available for free from sponsoring farms? Scot's reply : Thank you for your question. Hypothetical matings can be created for all active stallions, regardless of whether they are subscribed to the service. The report cost does not vary, whether you run your mare against a single stallion... Read More...
Reader Q&A -- This Cross Produced Multiple Grade I Winners, Why Is It a "C" Rating?
Wednesday, December 10, 2008 2:35 PM
Question from "DZ" : When using Exchange Rate nicking with Buckpasser mare line the nick comes up with a C rating, yet it shows top performers with the cross throwing 5 separate grade I winners. Why not a higher nick rating? Alan's reply : Thank you for the question. The Danzig/Buckpasser cross is one that has existed for a considerable time, in fact the first... Read More...
Reader Q&A: Can TrueNicks Be Used in Thoroughbred Handicapping?
Saturday, December 06, 2008 11:09 PM
Question from Tony: I realize that TrueNicks is primarily a tool for breeders but does your group envision developing any tools for handicappers as way to measure the potential of lightly raced horses? Byron's reply : Tony, thanks for the email. The short answer is "yes," the long answer is that it is going to take time to develop and certainly be rigorously... Read More...
Reader Q&A -- Pedigree Nicks with Barbadian Thoroughbred Bloodlines
Wednesday, November 19, 2008 11:39 AM
Question : Hi Alan. My named is Trevor. I have a mare in foal to a Mujadil son named is Toby's Dream. His dam is Islandagore (Indian Ridge - Dancing Sunset, by Red Sunset). My broodmare is Nostalgia she is by Nosferatu (a son Vice Regent) and her dam is Azallya (by Habitat). The pedigree is the same as Kingsgate Native. Is it a good nick, Alan? Alan's response... Read More...
Reader Q&A -- Rate the Pedigree Nick Between A.P. Indy and Gone West
Wednesday, November 12, 2008 3:00 PM
Question : Alan, what do you think about Sons of AP Indy to daughters of Gone West? Alan Porter's response : To date the A.P. Indy ( TrueNicks , SRO ) /Gone West nick -- and the more general Seattle Slew/Gone West nick -- has not been a very successful one. There is only one stakes winner on an A.P. Indy/Gone West from around 24 starters -- Bertsgoldenmissile... Read More...
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