1. Sovereignty
Owner/Trainer: Godolphin/Bill Mott
Into Mischief —Crowned, by Bernardini
Breeder: Godolphin (KY)
The top-ranked prospect due to his 1 1/4-mile Kentucky Derby (G1) upside, returns to action in the March 1 Fountain of Youth Stakes (G2), his first start since winning the Oct. 27 Street Sense Stakes (G3) by five lengths in his lone two-turn race. The conditions of the Fountain of Youth are not suited to a late runner such as he is; 1 1/16-mile races at Gulfstream Park end at what is typically the sixteenth pole. This is a building block to a follow-up 1 1/8-mile start and then the May 3 Run for the Roses.
2. Barnes
Owner/Trainer: Zedan Racing Stables/Bob Baffert
Into Mischief—All American Dream, by American Pharoah
Breeder: Jeff Drown and Don Rachel (KY)
He was sharp, as usual, in a Feb. 23 breeze before the March 1 San Felipe Stakes (G2) at Santa Anita Park. He is favored over five rivals in a San Felipe that should prove telling about his route ability. His two wins in as many starts have come at 5 1/2 furlongs and seven furlongs, with his race at the latter distance resulting in a 5 1/2-length romp in the Jan. 4 San Vicente Stakes (G2).
3. Citizen Bull
Owner/Trainer: SF Racing, Starlight Racing, Madaket Stables, Stonestreet Stables, Dianne Bashor, Determined Stables, Bob Masterson, Tom Ryan, Waves Edge Capital, and Catherine Donovan/Bob Baffert
Into Mischief—No Joke, by Distorted Humor
Breeder: Robert and Lawana Low (KY)
The 2-year-old champion of last year sits out the San Felipe Stakes. He is safely in the Derby with 60 qualifying points and is awaiting a start in one of the final Derby preps. This colt returned as excellent as ever in winning the Feb. 1 Robert B. Lewis Stakes (G3) by 3 3/4 lengths. In a form validation, the third-place finisher from that race, Madaket Road—who finished six lengths behind Citizen Bull—was a quality second behind Coal Battle in the Feb. 23 Rebel Stakes (G2) at Oaklawn Park.
4. Chancer McPatrick
Owner/Trainer: Flanagan Racing/Chad Brown
McKinzie —Bernadreamy, by Bernardini
Breeder: Rigney Racing (KY)
The Hopeful Stakes (G1) and Champagne Stakes (G1) winner of last year has been in a steady workout routine leading up to his scheduled return in the March 8 Tampa Bay Derby (G3). The 1 1/16-mile Tampa Bay Derby will mark his first start since a sixth-place finish in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile (G1) at Del Mar in his two-turn debut. The competition at Tampa Bay Downs will likely include the stakes-winning Owen Almighty and Brodeur, a winner of two straight.
5. Burnham Square
Owner/Trainer: Whitham Thoroughbreds/Ian Wilkes
Liam's Map —Linda, by Scat Daddy
Breeder: Whitham Thoroughbreds (KY)
Trainer Ian Wilkes was pleased with this gelding's final breeze before the Fountain of Youth in which the 3-year-old covered five furlongs Feb. 22 in 1:01.05 at Palm Meadows Training Center. The Holy Bull Stakes (G3) winner faces a quality lineup in Saturday's 1 1/16-mile race. Besides Sovereignty, others with graded stakes ability include Gate to Wire, River Thames, and Keep It Easy—though all three are unraced around two turns.
6. Coal Battle
Owner/Trainer: Norman Stables/Lonnie Briley
Coal Front—Wolfblade by Midshipman
Breeder: Hume Wornall and Jay Adcock (KY)
The Rebel Stakes winner will likely race next in the March 29 Arkansas Derby (G1) at Oaklawn, though trainer Lonnie Briley wants to monitor this stable star in the coming weeks before deciding. "I'm going to let him tell me because if I go to the Kentucky Derby with him, I don't want to go with a tired horse," he told Oaklawn Park publicity. Topping the Kentucky Derby leaderboard, he already has sufficient points (70). His Rebel Stakes victory improved his dirt record to 5-for-5 and resulted in a career-best 104 Equibase Speed Figure.
7. Journalism
Owner/Trainer: Bridlewood Farm, Don Alberto Stable, Eclipse Thoroughbred Partners, Elayne Stables 5, and Bob LaPenta/Michael McCarthy
Curlin —Mopotism, by Uncle Mo
Breeder: Don Alberto (KY)
Co-owner Aron Wellman, president and founder of Eclipse Thoroughbred Partners, is excited about what this colt can do over the Derby's classic distance. "We just can't seem to get to the bottom of him," he said on the "BloodHorse Monday" podcast. The colt's first start as a 3-year-old comes in the San Felipe, where this stalker might be at a tactical disadvantage since the apparent pace horses are both Bob Baffert trainees. It stands to reason that their jockeys will seek to avoid an early tussle, desiring more of a slow or controlled tempo.
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8. Rodriguez
Owner/Trainer: SF Racing, Starlight Racing, Madaket Stables, Stonestreet Stables, Dianne Bashor, Determined Stables, Bob Masterson, Tom Ryan, Waves Edge Capital, and Catherine Donovan/Bob Baffert
Authentic —Cayala, by Cherokee Run
Breeder: Kingswood Farm and David Egan (KY)
He was green in the Robert B. Lewis, falling back when intimidated between horses on the backstretch and then re-engaging on the second turn. His second-place finish—in which he finished 2 1/4 lengths ahead of subsequent Rebel runner-up Madaket Road—suggests a promising future. His front-running maiden win over next-out winner Baeza also leaps out of his past performances. With Juan Hernandez staying aboard Barnes in the San Felipe, picking up the ride is last year's Eclipse Award-winning jockey, Flavien Prat.
9. Sandman
Owner/Trainer: D. J. Stable, St. Elias Stable, West Point Thoroughbreds, and CJ Stables/Mark Casse
Tapit —Distorted Music, by Distorted Humor
Breeder: Lothenbach Stables (KY)
In closing to grab third behind Coal Battle and Madaket Road in the Rebel, he never seemed a threat to win, making up ground with a belated rally. Sandman broke better than in the Southwest and raced professionally but was slower to accelerate than Coal Battle when that one launched his winning second-turn bid. Sandman did keep churning late and galloped out with energy in a well-rated race.
10. Built
Owner/Trainer: Eclipse Thoroughbred Partners/Wayne Catalano
Hard Spun—Sea Garden, by Curlin
Breeder: Robert and Lawana Low (KY)
This seasoned colt has already routed three times in stakes at Fair Grounds Race Course & Slots this winter and is set for another in the March 22 Louisiana Derby (G2). Winner of the Gun Runner Stakes, he was a close second in the Lecomte Stakes (G3) and a distant third in a quick Risen Star Stakes (G2). With Risen Star winner Magnitude sidelined due to injury, Built looks like one of the favorites for the Louisiana Derby, contested at the Preakness Stakes (G1) distance of 1 3/16 miles.
11. Madaket Road
Owner/Trainer: SF Racing, Starlight Racing, Madaket Stables, Dianne Bashor, Determined Stables, Bob Masterson, Tom Ryan, Waves Edge Capital, and Catherine Donovan/Bob Baffert
Quality Road—Frolic's Dream, by Smoke Glacken
Breeder: SF Bloodstock (KY)
After racing from just off the pace in his first three starts, his connections changed tactics in the 1 1/16-mile Rebel, with Irad Ortiz Jr. sending him to a clear lead with quick opening splits of :22.47 and :45.72. He caught a breather late on the backstretch and early on the second turn before Coal Battle made his bid and ultimately passed him. Though Madaket Road yielded late to finish second, he was the only horse among the top four early leaders who finished in the front half of the field.
12. Tappan Street
WinStar Farm, CHC, and Cold Press Racing/Brad Cox
Into Mischief—Virginia Key, by Distorted Humor
Breeder: Blue Heaven Farm (KY)
He has not generated the buzz of other horses in recent weeks, which can be attributed to him being out of action since his runner-up finish in the Feb. 1 Holy Bull Stakes. He sits out Saturday's Fountain of Youth, which is not altogether surprising as Brad Cox likes to give his stakes horses space between starts. Look for this twice-started colt to benefit from his first route in the Holy Bull and take a step forward when he reappears.
